Assessing Incumbents' Risk of Digital Platform Disruption
Carmelo Cennamo, Lorenzo Diaferia, Aasha Gaur, Gianluca Salviotti
This study identifies three key market characteristics that make established businesses (incumbents) vulnerable to disruption by digital platforms. Using a qualitative research design examining multiple industries, the authors developed a practical tool for managers to assess their company's specific risk of being disrupted by these new market entrants.
Problem
Traditional companies often struggle to understand the unique threat posed by digital platforms, which disrupt entire market structures rather than just introducing new products. This research addresses the need for a systematic way for incumbent firms to identify their specific vulnerabilities and understand how digital platform disruption unfolds in their industry.
Outcome
- Digital platforms successfully disrupt markets by exploiting three key characteristics: information inefficiencies (asymmetry, fragmentation, complexity), the modular nature of product/service offerings, and unaddressed diverse customer preferences. - Disruption occurs in two primary ways: by creating new, more efficient marketplace infrastructures that replace incumbents' marketing channels, and by introducing alternative marketplaces with entirely new offerings that substitute incumbents' core services. - The paper provides a risk-assessment tool for managers to systematically evaluate their market's exposure to platform disruption based on a detailed set of factors related to information, product modularity, and customer preferences.
Host: Welcome to A.I.S. Insights, powered by Living Knowledge. In a world where companies like Airbnb and Uber can reshape entire industries seemingly overnight, established businesses are constantly looking over their shoulders. Today, we're asking: how can you know if your company is next? We’re diving into a fascinating study from the MIS Quarterly Executive titled, "Assessing Incumbents' Risk of Digital Platform Disruption."
Host: It identifies three key market characteristics that make established businesses vulnerable and, most importantly, provides a tool for managers to assess their company's risk. Here to unpack it all is our analyst, Alex Ian Sutherland. Alex, welcome.
Expert: Glad to be here, Anna.
Host: So, let's start with the big problem. We all know disruption is a threat, but the study suggests that the threat from digital platforms is different, and that traditional companies often misunderstand it. Why is that?
Expert: That's the core issue. Businesses are used to competing on products. Someone builds a better mousetrap, you build an even better one. But digital platforms don't just sell a new product; they fundamentally re-architect the entire market. They change the rules of the game.
Expert: Think about Craigslist's impact on newspapers. Craigslist didn't create a better classifieds section; it created a whole new, more efficient marketplace that made the newspaper's classifieds channel almost irrelevant. It disrupted the *relationships* between buyers, sellers, and the newspaper itself.
Host: So it's about changing the structure, not just the product. How did the researchers identify the warning signs for this kind of structural shift? What was their approach?
Expert: They conducted a deep, qualitative study. They didn't just look at numbers; they examined real-world platform cases across multiple industries—from energy and IT services to banking and insurance. They also conducted in-depth interviews with the key people actually designing, launching, and managing these platforms to understand the common patterns behind their success.
Host: And what were those key patterns? What are the big findings that business leaders need to know?
Expert: The study found that platforms successfully exploit three specific market characteristics. First, they thrive on what the researchers call 'information inefficiencies'. This is when information is lopsided, scattered, or just too complex for customers to easily understand. Platforms fix this by centralizing everything and making it transparent.
Host: Can you give me an example?
Expert: Absolutely. Think of booking a hotel before and after a platform like Booking.com. Information was fragmented across different hotel websites and travel agents. Platforms brought it all into one place, with user reviews to solve the problem of lopsided information—where the hotel knows more about its quality than you do.
Host: Okay, so inefficient information is the first vulnerability. What's the second?
Expert: The second is the modular nature of products or services. If what you sell is really a 'bundle' of smaller parts, a platform can come in, unbundle it, and let customers pick and choose only the pieces they want.
Expert: The study points to the insurance industry. A traditional policy is a bundle. A platform like 'Yolo' allows users to buy "micro-insurance" on-demand—just for a ski trip, for example—by breaking apart the traditional, monolithic insurance package.
Host: That makes perfect sense. Unbundling. And the third characteristic?
Expert: The third is the existence of unaddressed, diverse customer preferences. Large incumbents often focus on the biggest part of the market with a standardized offering. Platforms excel at serving the niches. They aggregate all that diverse demand, making it profitable to cater to very specific tastes, like Apple Podcasts does for every hobby imaginable.
Host: This is incredibly insightful. So, Alex, we come to the most important question. I’m a business leader listening to this. How do I apply these findings? What does this mean for my business today?
Expert: This is the most practical part of the study. It provides a risk-assessment tool, which boils down to asking yourself a few tough questions. First, how severe is the information asymmetry in your market? Do your customers struggle with uncertainty?
Expert: Second, how fragmented is the knowledge? Do customers have to hunt for information across many different sources to make a decision? If so, you're vulnerable.
Host: Okay, what else should I be asking?
Expert: You need to ask, how modular could my product be? Could a competitor break it apart and sell the pieces? And finally, are there groups of customers whose specific needs are not being fully met by your standard offering?
Host: So by going through that checklist, you can essentially diagnose your own company’s risk of disruption.
Expert: Exactly. It’s a proactive health check for your market. Answering "yes" to those questions doesn't mean you're doomed, but it does mean there are cracks in your market's foundation. And those cracks are precisely where a digital platform will try to gain a foothold.
Host: So, to summarize for our listeners: digital platforms don't just introduce new products, they rewire entire markets. They do this by exploiting three main vulnerabilities: information that is inefficient, products that can be unbundled, and diverse customer needs that are being ignored.
Host: The key takeaway is to use these insights as a lens to critically examine your own industry and identify your specific risks before someone else does. Alex, this has been an incredibly clear and actionable breakdown. Thank you so much for joining us.
Expert: My pleasure, Anna.
Host: And thanks to all of you for tuning in to A.I.S. Insights, powered by Living Knowledge. We'll see you next time.
digital platforms, disruption, incumbent firms, market architecture, risk assessment, information asymmetry, modularity