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Assessing Incumbents' Risk of Digital Platform Disruption

Assessing Incumbents' Risk of Digital Platform Disruption

Carmelo Cennamo, Lorenzo Diaferia, Aasha Gaur, Gianluca Salviotti
This study identifies three key market characteristics that make established businesses (incumbents) vulnerable to disruption by digital platforms. Using a qualitative research design examining multiple industries, the authors developed a practical tool for managers to assess their company's specific risk of being disrupted by these new market entrants.

Problem Traditional companies often struggle to understand the unique threat posed by digital platforms, which disrupt entire market structures rather than just introducing new products. This research addresses the need for a systematic way for incumbent firms to identify their specific vulnerabilities and understand how digital platform disruption unfolds in their industry.

Outcome - Digital platforms successfully disrupt markets by exploiting three key characteristics: information inefficiencies (asymmetry, fragmentation, complexity), the modular nature of product/service offerings, and unaddressed diverse customer preferences.
- Disruption occurs in two primary ways: by creating new, more efficient marketplace infrastructures that replace incumbents' marketing channels, and by introducing alternative marketplaces with entirely new offerings that substitute incumbents' core services.
- The paper provides a risk-assessment tool for managers to systematically evaluate their market's exposure to platform disruption based on a detailed set of factors related to information, product modularity, and customer preferences.
digital platforms, disruption, incumbent firms, market architecture, risk assessment, information asymmetry, modularity